Whats that got to do with anything in this conversation. Every FA in Swansons class is going to be more expensive than he will. Saying that strider pitched last year too as the focal point of your comparison is disingenuous. Story put up a 112 OPS+ and 26.8 bWAR in the 6 seasons leading up to his deal with the Red Sox. His first full year starting he had a 4.02 ERA. To an SP, well, it seems awfully risky. I see Grissom in the outfield with Harris/Acuna next year. You dont pay max arb prices to save $8M. Salary, Earnings Spencer Strider undoubtedly earns a substantial sum of money from his sole career in baseball. These cookies may be set through our site by our advertising partners. If he doesnt get a full year of service next season, it is because he sucked or he was suspended by the league for performance enhancing substances, lawsuits or criminal issues! Trying to compare the deals those two got to Strider is ludicrous. 37. Harvey was highly regarded as top prospect while Strider was considered middle reliever until may. The Braves also surely are still hopeful of extending Fried, whos controlled through the 2024 season. Go Braves! Just a cup of coffee at the ML level. A Super Two is in the top 22 percent (in terms of service time not performance) of all players in their service class during the offseason that they have at least 2 but less than 3 years of service time. The reason is pitchers are volatile. Again, he is NOT a Super Two, and you cant in any way assume that he will continue to remain this good. Super Two means you are arb eligible a year earlier, not that you get an extra year of service time. They potentially saved a lot of money. I expect to see him elsewhere next year. Or how that extra service time effects Super Two qualifications. Finally, the greater likelihood is that he probably wont be good enough to outplay what he was given because it was a dramatic overpay by a team that believes pitching will see a steep uptick in annual salary and their stupid contract with Strider is a self-fulfilling prophecy that will probably move the needle 10% across baseball due to this stupid deal. Generally not a fan of BTVs valuations, and your comment that the site is a general reference for trade values followed by They are off on a lot of things is a solid reason why I believe the site shouldnt be used as a factual source. He swings at any and everything trying to make contact. Look at post-season history over the last twenty or thirty years, and youll see the Braves usually getting the day games. @Run. Lets say $30 mil for year 3. Braves righty Spencer Strider has been put on the 15-day injured list with a strained oblique muscle. The Giants & Cubbies will follow and up the Goliaths to 5. Everything can be considered in arbitration. The Braves completed a remarkable late-season rally to capture the top spot in the NL East for the fifth straight season. Besides, they could just as easily lock up those years of free agency at a somewhat higher but much less risky price by just waiting a year or two to make sure hes for real. https://bleacherreport.com/articles/2955053-mlb-predictions-2022-updated-win-loss-projections-for-every-team, https://www.cbssports.com/mlb/news/2022-mlb-predictions-expert-picks-for-division-winners-and-world-series-champion-ahead-of-opening-day/, Thanks RunDMC, that is pretty lousy that Amy writer had the Mets ahead of the defending WS champions. Now stand in the corner and think about what youve learned today. MLB Player Spencer Strider has $1 million dollar net worth as of 2022, image source; SportsTalk ATL.com. So by that logic, if you are making $500K/year, you would buy a Snickers bar for $10 because you have lots of money? Harper sold and sells lots of tickets etc and great pr. To think 6 years ago Braves fans on here were defending their FO not trading Jim Johnson at the trade deadline and acting like finishing with a better record than the Phillies and Reds that year was going to lead to a giant step forward. Yes, they get one or two free agent years in exchange, but thats not enough to make up for those heavily expensive arb years in the deal. Are you trying to evade someone or are you incapable of understanding the difference between elude and allude. While he had great numbers, it was in 2/3 of a season and I have to believe those strikeouts fall off with general usage and fatigue, while also becoming more hittable as his velo drops and his breaking balls lose shape. CBA has no affect on arb money because the union wouldnt let a segment of their members benefit in terms of general contract negotiations. Strider already had TJS while he was still at Clemson. Brilliant. Braves are the smartest team in baseball. I guess writers should just pick the Braves for ten years because they won a World Series with a 88 win season. Now you all getting upset because Harvey was better then Strider at his stage of his career. Should have let Strasburg leave. It was that year I knew hed be a douchebag for being a Yankee bandwagoner in SoCal. Have to disagree that Baez and Story have more upside than Swanson at this point in their careers. The Book: Playing the Percentages in Baseball, Salaries may not be complete (especially pre-1985) and may not include some earned bonuses. Ill I know is Harvey dominated in playoffs and Strider just got lit up. That 94 mph fastball to Rhys Hoskins is that danger more than 3 mph difference in velo from normal, which is to say, he usually sits 97-98, touching 100 and dropping as low as 96. Fantasy baseball: Which prospects have fantasy value in 2023? "My goal is always to outperform any expectations," Strider said. Before his MLB career, he was a member of the Augusta GreenJackets, Rome Braves, Mississippi Braves, and Gwinnett Stripers. In reality though, they dont have too b/c some are just that damn team friendly. I could be mistaken on this because I dont follow the Braves as closely as you all do; but it seems to me that part of this is AAs (or Braves) intent on establishing the players relationship through goodwill too for the future. @MJ Youve omitted a year of Sotos arbitration. It does, however, mean the Braves get an extra draft pick. TO make the math easy lets just say by 20%. Youll find that its a similar sounding word to allude. The extension does not to my knowledge have any bearing on the Braves getting a draft pick. My bad for expecting anything you say to make sense. Not to mention at that point, many of the players might even decide to wait out until free agency and refuse any potentially team friendly deals. Soroka has pitched 13 2/3 major league innings in the past 3 years, and no one knows if he will ever return to his rookie brilliance. For the same price Id much rather have Swansbys 2023=2028, than Baezs 2022-2027. And Patrick Corbin with the Yankees. Similar thing happened last year when LAD needed to replace Corey Seagers offense by sliding Muncy over and signing Freeman at half the price. They cant keep getting away with robbery forever. I would give this contract a 5% chance of paying off for the Braves due to injury risk, statistical volatility, x-factor changes in both personal life and professional baseball. But blowing a 7 1/2 game lead on August 7 and losing 6-7 to the primary opposition is absolutely a choke job. Ask Trevor Rogers who faceplanted in 2022. Spencer Strider, RP, ATL. Sign Grissom to an extension? The Mets won 101 games and tied the Braves for the division. Swanson is not as good as those guys. Win win for both sides. Buying out those arbitration years is key to these deals imo. Look at the alternative, pay for TOR stuff like DET did in the offseason with Rodriguez (5 years/77M) and he was AWOL for much of the season in the 1st year of his deal. Not to sound too negative, since there are also positives in his hitting profile, but Id have concerns going too long term with him. What does a 29 year old with 1 year of control have to do with a 23 year old with 5 years of control left? Youd think some of these young Braves players would want to bet on themselves by waiting a few years. Why? I bet the Yankees are wishing Judge took that extension earlier this year. Sure Ks make more money, but his control years should be as follows if he doesnt fall off at all: 2023: minimum Other then that what aging crap did we sign? Sunday marked the first time Strider had thrown off a mound since his Sept. 18 start against Philadelphia. The problem is they still have the potential to either end up in the bleachers or the nose-bleed sections, or even if they get great seats behind homeplate, they are still losing nearly 30% on the gamble. Believe hes expressed the desire to stay on 2B (probably because of his arm strength being gone.) Obviously if it went that route the Braves win this by a bit, maybe $10 mil in their favor by the end of it roughly. He divides his timing between the four MLB teams, but one thing is certain. Strider is represented by Frontline. He will fall off before he ever gets those record numbers. Obviously, $76MM in 2028 will carry less weight than $76MM in 2022, but its still a hefty commitment to have so far down the line. Its not their young pitching, its pitching in general. We present them here for purely educational purposes. If he is not sent down in 2023 he will finish 2023 with 2 years and 3 days of service time. Id be shocked if Strider made more than $45 mil over the next 5 years in total if we let this all play out. Your justification for the contract makes no sense. Then he will still have one more arb year after that. If you wait a year or two and he continues to pitch well, then his pricetag doubles. He had a 5-2 record with a 4.71 ERA, allowing 53 hits, 38 walks, and 89 strikeouts. Yes, the name Braves Butt Head about sums it up correctly! This is their first long-term contract extension with a young pitcher. Fried wasnt this good out of the gate. Strider was not on track to be a Super Two. Is your life so empty that you pore over comments in three week old articles in search of targets for your insults? Then again, I also had concerns with Baez, who has a higher degree of volatility due to his approach. All of their young core is locked up and are going to be WS threats for the next 7-8 years. Dynasty, Mets are going to spend and bankrupt Cohen while winning absolutely nothing. They even got an opt out in the form of a cheap buyout if he crashes prior to his last year the Braves control. Lordy the braves are waaaaay ahead of the curve in finding talent. They arent regretting losing Rendon. My point was that Soto would be worth at best $140M in excess value, he tried justifying the $200M by saying it was the premium for trading for a star. The examples and numbers you give and your well edited comments make me believe you are a writer fiction, right? Thats $57M add his one year of included free agency for $35M ($40M is bridge too far for me, sorry) and you have $92M roughly for 6 years. The braves do like to buy out arbitration years where they can. Lets say you are going to a MLB game at your local stadium and for-the-sake-of-argument lets say there are only 4 seat choices: bleachers $15, nose-bleeds (2nd & 3rd deck) $40, between 1st and 3rd base behind the dugouts for $100, and a seat in a suite for $150. But the Braves battled and leapfrogged the Mets in early October to win the division. Now the baseball world is looking forward to what he could do while serving as a starter over an entire season. The Dodgers play on the west coast and you want them to play earlier then the Braves? Theres a reason Cohen has the money he has, and it isnt by being a fool October? They are very pleased to pay him. Everything is an option, quite honestly, Snitker said. Max was gassed in the NLCS last year. Pads Fans spends 5 hours a day commenting from multiple accounts and STILL doesnt know how Super Two works. If we remove his first-full season clunker in 2017 and fold in 2022, hes still only at a league-average 100. Im curious how the bonuses would impact arbitration. The Braves' 2022 season has been nothing short of impressive. No, theyd be paying him much less than $40M over his arbitration years if he devolves into a 4.00 ERA pitcher., which is far from the worst case scenario for a pitcher who has only a dominant rookie year to date. Per SNY's Andy Martino, the Mets are hesitant to go up to four years if another team offered four at a high salary figure for the two-time Cy Young winner, who opted out of the remaining two years of the five-year . Or theyre being proactive to keep future payroll in check and balanced out so they dont get caught with uncertain arbitration costs in the future. I disagree. Though for the sake of my Mets, I hope they penny pinch and let him walk, haha. If youre a Tigers fan, you probably should hope Baez opts out after 2023. Second, thats only the top end scale. Strider becomes the fourth young Braves star to be extended this season alone, joining first baseman Matt Olson (eight years, $168MM), center fielder Michael Harris II (eight years, $72MM) and star third baseman Austin Riley (ten years, $212MM). That is just temporary. But they have shown the willingness to lock up their young stars. It very well could be a bad deal for his team if he cant continue the level of dominance he showed this year or has constant injury problems. Still, given the general excellence of this group, its impossible not to be bullish on the teams future. Another problem is the harder you throw, the more stress you put on your arm and the more likely you are to get injured. Well, the rich smart teams. He was real good but lets not get carried away with how good he is.
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